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Pharma Supply Onshoring: Two Shocks Converge on One Theme

Iran's Hormuz closure and Trump's 100% drug tariff hit simultaneously, exposing the concentration of US pharmaceutical supply in India. Over $270 billion in onshoring pledges signal where capex is going.

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The Strait of Hormuz closure and the Trump administration's 100% pharmaceutical tariff arrived within weeks of each other, and their convergence reveals a structural exposure that investors have been aware of in theory but have not had to price in practice. The US pharmaceutical supply chain has an acute concentration problem, and two simultaneous shocks are turning it from a known risk into an active disruption with measurable timelines.

Why This Is Structural

The Hormuz disruption is the trigger, but the structural dependency predates it. India produces approximately 47% of US generic drug p

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