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Earnings Signal

EXPD: Air Freight Rate Surge Puts Q1 Consensus at Risk

Air cargo search demand is up 78% YoY as dual-chokepoint disruptions send spot rates to 2-year highs. EXPD Q1 consensus was set before this escalation.

EXPD Expeditors International air freight air cargo dual chokepoint Q1 2026 earnings Strait of Hormuz logistics

Global air freight spot rates reached USD 2.86 per kilogram in March 2026, surpassing 2025 peak-season levels and marking the highest point since December 2024. The timing is significant: Expeditors International (EXPD, NYSE) reports Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, and the current analyst consensus was set before the dual-chokepoint disruption fully materialized. The consensus expects Q1 revenue down 2.4% year-over-year and EPS down 10.2% from the prior year. The search data tells a different story.

What the Air Cargo Signal Shows

Google Search interest in "air cargo" reached 80 out of 100 in early

Paradox Intelligence Research

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